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Washington CNN —Nowadays, it’s anyone’s guess when the Federal Reserve will begin to cut interest rates this year — if at all. Fed officials are meeting this week, starting Tuesday, to discuss rates and set policy. That guidance will be key for market observers who clearly have divergent views on interest rates. Forecasts from major Wall Street banks on the first rate cut are all over the place: JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs expect the first cut in July, while Wells Fargo is betting on September. Some Fed policymakers, meanwhile, have even floated the possibility of a rate hike, instead of a cut.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Wall, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Jerome Powell, , ” Kathleen Grace, John Towfighi, That’s, nearshoring, Alberto Ramos, Ramos, Morgan Stanley, Read, Cindy Westman, , Brian Fung, Jason Carroll, I’ll, , Westman, , Westman — Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Bank of America, CNN, Labor Department, Manufacturing, Commerce Department, Program, Social Locations: Washington, Wells, Mexico, , China, United States, Eureka , Illinois
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s interview with Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders, SoFi's Liz Young and CIC Wealth’s Malcolm EthridgeCharles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders, SoFi's Liz Young and CIC Wealth’s Malcolm Ethridge join 'Closing Bell' to discuss markets, the market pullback and bounce and what it means for their outlook.
Persons: Liz Ann Sonders, SoFi's Liz Young, Malcolm Ethridge Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders, Malcolm Ethridge
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCharles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders expects the relief rallies in 2023's sector darlings will continueLiz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab chief investment strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss markets, the market pullback and bounce and what it means for her outlook.
Persons: Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab
Three months of inflation data have brought those expectations back down to earth. "Not that you've put a pin in inflation getting to the Fed's target, but it's not happening imminently." The 2-year Treasury note , which is especially sensitive to Fed rate moves, jumped to 4.93%, an increase of nearly 0.2 percentage point. The pricing in of seven rate cuts earlier this year was completely at odds with indications from Fed officials. However, when policymakers in December raised their "dot plot" indicator to three rate cuts from two projected in September, it set off a Wall Street frenzy.
Persons: Michael M, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, you've, There's, Today's, Phillip Neuhart, Joseph LaVorgna, Schwab's Sonders, Sonders Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty, Federal, Labor, CPI, Fed, Traders, First, Bank Wealth, Dow Jones, Treasury, Nikko Securities, Atlanta Fed Locations: New York City
The wealth of the 1% just hit a record $44 trillion
  + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( Robert Frank | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Middle-class Americans have also seen a rising wealth tide, with the middle 50% to 90% of Americans seeing their wealth increase 50%. The value of corporate equities and mutual fund shares held by the top 1% surged to $19.7 trillion from $17.65 trillion the previous quarter. The wealth of the top 1% hit a record $44.6 trillion at the end of the fourth quarter, as an end-of-year stock rally lifted their portfolios, according to new data from the Federal Reserve. Economists say the rising stock market is giving an added boost to consumer spending through what is known as the "wealth effect." "Of course, this highlights a vulnerability of the economy if the stock market were to falter.
Persons: Robert Frank, Mark Zandi, Zandi, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, – Sonders Organizations: Federal Reserve, Moody's, Stocks, Conference Board Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailElection has the chance to be a volatility driver for equities, says Charles Schwab's SondersLiz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what could derail the equity market this year, if the election poses any risks for stocks, and more.
Persons: Charles Schwab's, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab
watch nowJob creation topped expectations in February, but the unemployment rate moved higher and employment growth from the previous two months wasn't nearly as hot as initially reported. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 275,000 for the month while the jobless rate moved higher to 3.9%, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. The jobless level increased as the household survey, used to calculate the unemployment rate, showed a decline of 184,000 in those employed. The increase came even though the labor force participation rate held steady at 62.5%, though the "prime age" rate increased to 83.5%, up two-tenths of a percentage point. An alternative jobless measure, sometimes called the "real" unemployment rate, that includes discouraged workers and those holding part-time jobs for economic reasons rose slightly to 7.3%.
Persons: Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Stocks, It's, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Dan North, Jerome Powell Organizations: Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Treasury, Government, Futures, Allianz Trade, Capitol
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCan't connect productivity improvements to AI yet, says Charles Schwab's Liz Ann SondersLiz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss AI's productivity prospects, what accounts for the recent record equity market closes, and much more.
Persons: Charles Schwab's Liz Ann, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab
Investors are pricing in a best-case outcome where earnings rise and inflation returns to normal in a continued economic expansion. “It’s a tough needle to thread,” said Steve Sosnick, the chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. “And that pretty much pulls forward almost all the returns, in our minds, for 2024.”AdvertisementCrit Thomas, a global market strategist at Touchstone Investments, has the same concern. “And so at 21x earnings, there’s very little margin for error here.”AdvertisementFourth-quarter earnings mostly met measured expectations , as did forward guidance. Clark Bellin, the chief investment officer at Bellwether Wealth, said he’s less worried about valuations broadly and is more interested in seeing which sectors look cheap.
Persons: , , Solita Marcelli, , Sameer Samana, Steve Sosnick, It’s, Steven Wieting, “ We’ve, Crit Thomas, “ I’m, ” Thomas, We’re, Chris Galipeau, ” Galipeau, ” Sosnick, we’ve, Liz Ann Sonders, Schwab, ” Sonders, there’s, Clark Bellin, he’s, ” Bellin, you’re, Stocks, Samana, won’t, Thomas, Wieting, Bellin, “ They’ve, they’re Organizations: Service, Business, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Interactive, Citi Global Wealth’s, Touchstone Investments, Franklin Templeton Institute, Citi Global Wealth, Bellwether Wealth Locations: Wells Fargo, Samana, ” Samana, Galipeau
Positive labor market data and GDP growth support this, but job opportunities in some sectors are down. Not all job data is positive, with job openings falling from their post-pandemic highs. Below are some of the signs the economy is thriving, as well as some warning signs. Labor market data is mostly positiveThe labor market is still stable despite gradually slowing, Kimbrough said during the forum. "I think the investment side of our economy is going to start to chip away a little bit at the discretionary consumption weight in our economy."
Persons: , Marc Giannoni, LinkedIn's Karin Kimbrough, Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders, Giannoni, Kimbrough, Jerome Powell, Powell, NerdWallet's Elizabeth Renter, Sonders, They're, there’s, there's, — Kimbrough, it’s Organizations: Federal, Service, Barclays, NYU Stern Economic, Labor, Conference, University of Michigan's, Market Committee, Health, New, New York City Housing Locations: York, New York City
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCharles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders: We can't look at the market in a 'monolithic way' anymoreLiz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab chief investment strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss what explains the bond market's reaction to Friday's jobs report, what's happening with regional bank stocks, and any spillover to the big banks.
Persons: Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab
Wall Street continues to climb a wall of worry even as investors deliberate how much longer equities can maintain their record run. But questions remain for investors after some major disappointments in an intense week suggested more challenges ahead. Apple dropped 3% this week after reporting lackluster earnings, weighing on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Elsewhere in corporate earnings, regional banks as represented by the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF slid 7% after poor results from New York Community Bank spurred investor fears of a wider contagion. Signs of market weakness For investors, there may be more issues in the market going forward in 2024.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Apple, Scott Rubner, Goldman Sachs, Rubner, Russell, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, CNBC's, Sonders, Lehman, Raymond James, Josh Beck, James McCann, Abrdn, McCann, Rhys WIlliams, Williams, it's, Art Hogan, They're, Hogan, Estee, Eli Lilly, Ralph Lauren, Rowe Price, Philip Morris Organizations: Meta, Dow Jones, Regional Banking, New York Community Bank, Bank, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Markets, Wayve Capital Management, Riley, Atlanta, PMI, Simon Property, Companies, Tyson Foods, Semiconductor, Caterpillar, Prudential Financial, Ford Motor, Enphase Energy, GE Healthcare Technologies, Consumer, Walt Disney Co, Wynn Resorts, PayPal, Brands, CVS Health, Hilton Worldwide, Uber Technologies, Costco Wholesale, Motorola Solutions, Expedia, Rowe Price Group, ConocoPhillips, The Hershey Co, Philip Morris International, PepsiCo Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock market's record highs can fuel the momentum trade, says Charles Schwab's Liz Ann SondersHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders, Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC
Inflation slowed to a 3.1% annual rate in November
  + stars: | 2023-12-12 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
While the monthly rate indicated a pickup from the flat CPI reading in October, the annual rate showed another decline after hitting 3.2% a month earlier. The consumer price index, a closely watched inflation gauge, increased 0.1% in November, and was up 3.1% from a year ago, the Labor Department reported Tuesday . Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for no gain and a yearly rate of 3.1%. Food prices increased 0.2%, boosted by a 0.4% jump in food away from home. On an annual basis, food rose 2.9% while energy was down 5.4%.
Persons: Dow Jones, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Lisa Sturtevant Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Bright MLS, Fed, CNBC Fed Survey, CNBC PRO
Stephanie Keith | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesNovember's solid jobs report did not assure that the economy will come in for a soft landing, but it did help to clear the runway a little more. "Overall, the jobs market is doing its part to get us to a soft landing," said Daniel Zhao, lead economist at jobs rating site Glassdoor. The unemployment rate unexpectedly declined to 3.7%, easing worries that it could trigger a historically dead-on signal known as the Sahm Rule, which coordinates increases of the unemployment rate by half a percentage point to recessions. "The recession versus soft landing debate sort of misses the necessary nuances of this unique cycle," Sonders said. "A best-case scenario is not so much a soft landing, because that ship has already sailed for [some] segments.
Persons: Stephanie Keith, Daniel Zhao, nonfarm, Gus Faucher, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Sonders, Sanders, Schwab Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Labor, PNC Financial Services, PNC, University of Michigan's Locations: New York, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailActive managers will see a growing roster of opportunities in 2024: Charles Schwab's Liz Ann SondersLiz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what investors should watch out for into year-end and early next, how active investment manager sentiment is, and what could alter active manager's strategies in 2024.
Persons: Charles Schwab's Liz Ann, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab
The economy was even hotter in the third quarter than initially believed, according to an update Wednesday from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Increased investment and government spending drove the higher estimate. in 3Q23, up from initial estimate of +4.9% … personal consumption revised lower while business investment revised higher,” Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, posted on social media. “Ultimately, excess savings accumulated during the pandemic helped boost consumer spending and delay the onset of recession,” BCA Research wrote on Wednesday. “However, the tailwind from excess savings is ebbing.
Persons: ann, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Consumers, Monday’s Organizations: Gross, BEA, , Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta’s, Research, San Francisco Fed, BCA, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: 3Q23, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket has been on a roller coaster ride in recent months, says Charles Schwab's Liz Ann SondersLiz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab chief investment strategist and managing director, joins 'Closing Bell' to give her take on the market and the recent market rally.
Persons: Charles Schwab's Liz Ann, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailYou want to invest in self-funding companies that are anti-zombies, says Liz Ann SondersLiz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab, discusses the trading day ahead following the Federal Reserve's rate hiking campaign pause.
Persons: Liz Ann, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab
Retail sales, which are adjusted for seasonality but not inflation, grew 0.7% in September from the prior month. Factoring in September’s 0.4% rise in consumer prices, inflation-adjusted retail sales were up 0.3% last month. From a year earlier, retail sales and food services spending were up 3.8% in September, the strongest annual gain since February. Spending grew across most categories last month, with sales at specialty stores advancing the most, by 3%. Excluding sales at gasoline stations, retail sales still advanced 0.7% last month.
Persons: , BIll Adams, , Adams, US Energy Information Administration “, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Brian Field, Gregory Daco, ” Daco, Joe Biden, Jordan Organizations: DC CNN, Comerica Bank, headwinds, UAW, United Auto Workers, US Energy Information Administration, Hamas, University of, San Francisco Fed, “ Retail, CNN, Employers, Sensormatic Solutions, Services, OPEC Locations: Washington, Israel, Iran
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with New York Life Investments' Goodwin and Charles Schwab's Liz Ann SondersLauren Goodwin, New York Life Investments economist, and Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab chief investment strategist and managing director, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss a setup for a run in equities into year-end, what happens if rates move lower, and more.
Persons: Goodwin, Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders Lauren Goodwin, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Organizations: New York Life Investments Locations: New York
Stock market analysts have been closely watching "The Magnificent Seven." Rather, they're keeping an eye on the seven largest stocks in the S&P 500. So far this year, this group of mega-sized firms are buoying the performance of the U.S. stock market. As a group, these stocks have returned 92% in 2023 on average. If a move in the stock market shows broad movement across a wide swath of stocks, then it's thought to be strong.
Persons: Yul Brynner, Steve McQueen, Denzel Washington, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, It's, Tesla, it's, Liz Young Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down more than 400 points Tuesday. Bond yields spiked after fresh labor data, which pointed to a still-resilient job market. AdvertisementAdvertisementAfter a strong to the year, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is on pace Tuesday to give up all of its 2023 gains. While the Dow has lagged stronger gains posted by the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq this year, the index was still up about 8% at its 2023 peak in August. The stock market's losses so far in October extend a brutal two-month stretch for investors, with September posting the worst monthly loss of 2023.
Persons: , Quincy Krosby, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab's, Sonders Organizations: Dow Jones, Service, Nasdaq, Dow, Treasury, Labor, Survey, Fed, LPL Locations: New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Liz Ann Sonders and Megan CassellaHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Liz Ann Sonders, Megan Cassella, Brian Sullivan, Organizations: CNBC
Be it the United Auto Workers strike , the impending government shutdown or the resumption of deferred student loan payments , ominous barriers to growth have been lining up. "The economic headwinds are blowing, and they're blowing harder and harder," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon recently cautioned clients that the Fed may have to take rates a good deal higher yet. Still, that's well rate above the central bank's 2% target, posing another potential headwind to growth. Despite the looming slowdown, consumers, who are pivotal to U.S. growth, have managed to hang in there.
Persons: Mark Zandi, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Ronnie Walker, Alec Phillips, tumbles, Sam Stovall, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, We're, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Jerome, Powell, They've Organizations: United Auto Workers, Moody's, UAW, Atlanta, JPMorgan, University of Michigan's, Commerce Department Locations: U.S
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